Exhaustion Gap

An Exhaustion Gap is a specific type of price gap on a trading chart that often signals the end of a strong trend and frequently precedes a reversal. Understanding exhaustion gaps is crucial for traders looking to identify potential turning points in the market and avoid getting caught on the wrong side of a move.

A gap occurs when the price of an asset opens significantly higher or lower than the previous closing price, leaving a space or “gap” on the chart. Exhaustion gaps, in particular, happen near the climax of a trend—whether bullish or bearish. After a sustained move in one direction, an exhaustion gap represents the last burst of buying or selling pressure before the trend loses momentum.

How does it differ from other types of gaps? There are generally three kinds of gaps: breakaway gaps, runaway (or continuation) gaps, and exhaustion gaps. Breakaway gaps signal the start of a new trend, runaway gaps occur during a strong trending phase, and exhaustion gaps appear near the end of that trend. While breakaway and runaway gaps indicate strength, exhaustion gaps often warn that the trend is overextended and may soon reverse.

From a technical perspective, exhaustion gaps usually appear on high volume, reflecting a final surge of trader enthusiasm or panic. Following the gap, prices often reverse sharply, retracing a significant portion of the prior move. This makes exhaustion gaps valuable for swing traders and position traders aiming to time entries and exits more precisely.

An example of an exhaustion gap can be seen in the stock of Tesla (TSLA) in late 2020. After a strong upward rally throughout the year, TSLA gapped up significantly in early September 2020 on heavy volume. However, this gap was followed by a rapid pullback and a trend reversal over the next few weeks. Traders who recognized the exhaustion gap could have avoided chasing the stock at unsustainable prices and positioned themselves for the subsequent correction.

Formula-wise, while there isn’t a strict mathematical formula to identify an exhaustion gap, traders often use volume and price action to confirm its presence. For instance:

Gap size = Opening price on day n – Closing price on day n-1

If Gap size is large relative to average daily price range and accompanied by unusually high volume, it could be an exhaustion gap if it occurs near the end of a strong trend.

Common mistakes with exhaustion gaps include mistaking them for breakaway or continuation gaps. Many novices jump into a trade expecting the trend to continue without realizing that an exhaustion gap often marks the last gasp of momentum. Another misconception is ignoring volume. An exhaustion gap typically comes with high volume; low volume gaps are less reliable as reversal signals.

People often search related queries such as “How to trade exhaustion gaps?”, “Exhaustion gap vs breakaway gap”, and “Volume confirmation for exhaustion gaps”. The key takeaway is that exhaustion gaps are best used in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as RSI (Relative Strength Index) divergence or candlestick reversal patterns, to improve reliability.

In conclusion, recognizing exhaustion gaps can be a powerful tool in a trader’s arsenal. They provide a visual clue that a trend may be tiring and a reversal could be imminent. However, traders should combine gap analysis with volume and other technical signals to confirm their assumptions and avoid common pitfalls.

META TITLE
Exhaustion Gap Explained: Spot Trend Reversals Early

META DESCRIPTION
Learn how exhaustion gaps signal the end of strong trends, how to spot them, and avoid common mistakes to improve your trading strategy.

See all glossary terms

Share the knowledge

This is not investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. Your capital is at risk, please trade responsibly.

By Daman Markets